Jan Blachowicz
29-11-1
VS
Navajo Stirling
8-0-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
29.1%
70.9%
Navajo Stirling
LightGBM
30.1%
69.9%
Navajo Stirling
Logistic (Core)
currently viewing
18.2%
81.8%
Navajo Stirling
CatBoost
29.9%
70.1%
Navajo Stirling
Ensemble
26.7%
73.3%
Navajo Stirling
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
43%
Decision
47%
KO / TKO
10%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 57%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Jan Blachowicz
Navajo Stirling
13%
13%
10%
8%
5%
5%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Jan Blachowicz
pushes toward Navajo Stirling →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Jan Blachowicz
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
KO
D
DEC
L
DEC
L
DEC
D
DEC
Height:
188 cm
Weight:
205 lbs
Reach:
198 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Navajo Stirling
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
KO
W
KO
W
KO
W
DEC
W
DEC
Height:
193 cm
Weight:
205 lbs
Reach:
201 cm
Stance:
Orthodox