Roman Dolidze
15-4-0
VS
Reinier de Ridder
"RdR"
21-3-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
44.0%
56.0%
Reinier de Ridder
LightGBM
currently viewing
45.9%
54.1%
Reinier de Ridder
Logistic (Core)
44.4%
55.6%
Reinier de Ridder
CatBoost
44.2%
55.8%
Reinier de Ridder
Ensemble
36.5%
63.5%
Reinier de Ridder
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
48%
Decision
34%
KO / TKO
18%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 52%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Roman Dolidze
Reinier de Ridder
12%
8%
8%
8%
7%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Roman Dolidze
pushes toward Reinier de Ridder →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Roman Dolidze
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
KO
L
DEC
L
SUB
W
DEC
W
KO
Height:
188 cm
Weight:
185 lbs
Reach:
193 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Reinier de Ridder
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
KO
L
DEC
L
KO
W
DEC
W
KO
Height:
193 cm
Weight:
185 lbs
Reach:
198 cm
Stance:
Southpaw