Gauge Young
"Gee Money"
10-3-0
VS
Stan Dorsainvil
"The Drill"
5-0-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
54.0%
46.0%
Gauge Young
LightGBM
54.5%
45.5%
Gauge Young
Logistic (Core)
55.0%
45.0%
Gauge Young
CatBoost
currently viewing
55.5%
44.5%
Gauge Young
Ensemble
60.8%
39.2%
Gauge Young
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
57%
Decision
29%
KO / TKO
14%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 43%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why CatBoost leans this way
Gauge Young
Stan Dorsainvil
16%
12%
11%
6%
6%
5%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Gauge Young
pushes toward Stan Dorsainvil →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Gauge Young
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
W
DEC
W
DEC
L
DEC
Height:
175 cm
Weight:
155 lbs
Reach:
178 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Stan Dorsainvil
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
DEC
Height:
N/A cm
Weight:
155 lbs
Reach:
N/A cm
Stance:
Orthodox