Dennis Buzukja
"The Great"
12-5-0
VS
Bogdan Grad
"The Unleashed"
15-4-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
36.8%
63.2%
Bogdan Grad
LightGBM
43.8%
56.2%
Bogdan Grad
Logistic (Core)
currently viewing
49.1%
50.9%
Bogdan Grad
CatBoost
46.4%
53.6%
Bogdan Grad
Ensemble
38.2%
61.8%
Bogdan Grad
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
53%
Decision
34%
KO / TKO
13%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 47%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Dennis Buzukja
Bogdan Grad
11%
10%
7%
6%
6%
5%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
← pushes toward Dennis Buzukja
pushes toward Bogdan Grad →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Dennis Buzukja
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
SUB
L
KO
L
DEC
W
KO
L
KO
Height:
175 cm
Weight:
145 lbs
Reach:
178 cm
Stance:
Switch
Bogdan Grad
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
SUB
L
KO
L
DEC
W
KO
Height:
173 cm
Weight:
145 lbs
Reach:
178 cm
Stance:
Orthodox