Amanda Lemos
15-5-1
VS
Alexia Thainara
"Burguesinha"
13-1-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
26.7%
73.3%
Alexia Thainara
LightGBM
25.6%
74.4%
Alexia Thainara
Logistic (Core)
currently viewing
35.4%
64.6%
Alexia Thainara
CatBoost
27.4%
72.6%
Alexia Thainara
Ensemble
25.9%
74.1%
Alexia Thainara
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
65%
Decision
11%
KO / TKO
24%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 35%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Amanda Lemos
Alexia Thainara
13%
10%
8%
6%
5%
5%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
← pushes toward Amanda Lemos
pushes toward Alexia Thainara →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Amanda Lemos
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
L
DEC
L
DEC
W
DEC
L
SUB
Height:
163 cm
Weight:
115 lbs
Reach:
165 cm
Stance:
Southpaw
Alexia Thainara
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
DEC
W
DEC
W
DEC
W
SUB
Height:
163 cm
Weight:
115 lbs
Reach:
170 cm
Stance:
Orthodox