Jamall Emmers
"Pretty Boy"
22-8-0
VS
Lerryan Douglas
"Gunslinger"
13-5-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
37.4%
62.6%
Lerryan Douglas
LightGBM
36.7%
63.3%
Lerryan Douglas
Logistic (Core)
40.1%
59.9%
Lerryan Douglas
CatBoost
38.9%
61.1%
Lerryan Douglas
Ensemble
currently viewing
36.7%
63.3%
Lerryan Douglas
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
44%
Decision
39%
KO / TKO
17%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 56%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Jamall Emmers
Lerryan Douglas
20%
14%
9%
9%
5%
5%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Jamall Emmers
pushes toward Lerryan Douglas →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Jamall Emmers
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
KO
W
DEC
W
KO
L
KO
W
KO
Height:
178 cm
Weight:
145 lbs
Reach:
188 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Lerryan Douglas
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
KO
W
KO
Height:
175 cm
Weight:
145 lbs
Reach:
183 cm
Stance:
Orthodox