Kody Steele
7-1-0
Thin UFC data
VS
Gauge Young
"Gee Money"
10-3-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
currently viewing
44.2%
55.8%
Gauge Young
LightGBM
42.7%
57.3%
Gauge Young
Logistic (Core)
37.1%
62.9%
Gauge Young
CatBoost
43.2%
56.8%
Gauge Young
Ensemble
44.6%
55.4%
Gauge Young
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
53%
Decision
28%
KO / TKO
19%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 47%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Kody Steele
Gauge Young
14%
10%
7%
6%
6%
6%
5%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Kody Steele
pushes toward Gauge Young →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Kody Steele
Win Streak
1
Finish Rate
50%
Avg Duration
9.5m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
SUB
L
DEC
Height:
175 cm
Weight:
155 lbs
Reach:
180 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Gauge Young
Win Streak
2
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
15.0m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
DEC
W
DEC
L
DEC
Height:
175 cm
Weight:
155 lbs
Reach:
178 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Head-to-Head Stats
Kody Steele
ADVANTAGE
Gauge Young
Striking Accuracy
Strikes Landed/Min
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Striking Defense
Takedown Accuracy
Takedown Defense
Knockdowns/Fight
Avg Control Time (sec)
Strikes Per Round
Head Strike %
Body Strike %
Leg Strike %
Last 5 Win Rate
Last 5 Finish Rate