Tabatha Ricci
"Baby Shark"
12-3-0
VS
2026-07-18
UFC Fight Night: Tavares vs. Barriault
Women's Strawweight
Fatima Kline
"The Archangel"
9-1-0
CATBOOST PREDICTION
Fatima Kline 'The Archangel'
63.7% CONFIDENCE
How It Ends
70%
Decision
17%
KO / TKO
13%
Submission
Decision70.3%
KO / TKO16.7%
Submission13.1%
If it's a finish, which round
Round 135.8%
Round 244.8%
Round 3+19.4%
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 30% estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why CatBoost leans this way
Tabatha Ricci
Fatima Kline
Net striking dominance
Matchup
19%
Age edge (significant gap)
Matchup
14%
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Fatima Kline
8%
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Tabatha Ricci
8%
Experience edge (total fights)
Matchup
7%
Reach edge
Matchup
4%
Avg takedowns attempted
Fatima Kline
4%
Age
Fatima Kline
4%
Strikes absorbed/min
Tabatha Ricci
3%
Head-strike accuracy edge
Matchup
3%
Age
Tabatha Ricci
3%
Avg takedowns attempted
Tabatha Ricci
2%
Past prime
Fatima Kline
2%
Distance strike defense
Fatima Kline
2%
← pushes toward Tabatha Ricci pushes toward Fatima Kline →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.

Tabatha Ricci

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L DEC
L DEC
W KO
L DEC
W DEC
Height: 155 cm
Weight: 115 lbs
Reach: 155 cm
Stance: Orthodox

Fatima Kline

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W DEC
W DEC
W KO
W KO
L DEC
Height: 168 cm
Weight: 115 lbs
Reach: 170 cm
Stance: Orthodox