Cody Gibson
"The Renegade"
22-12-0
VS
2026-07-25
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr
Bantamweight
Abdul Hussein
"Abba"
15-2-0
LIGHTGBM PREDICTION
Abdul Hussein 'Abba'
62.4% CONFIDENCE
How It Ends
44%
Decision
28%
KO / TKO
29%
Submission
Decision43.7%
KO / TKO27.5%
Submission28.8%
If it's a finish, which round
Round 150.0%
Round 226.5%
Round 3+23.5%
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 56% estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Cody Gibson
Abdul Hussein
Age edge (significant gap)
Matchup
22%
Age
Cody Gibson
10%
Elo rating edge
Matchup
9%
Experience edge (total fights)
Matchup
8%
Defensive skill edge
Matchup
6%
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Cody Gibson
4%
Avg takedowns attempted
Abdul Hussein
3%
Age
Abdul Hussein
3%
Last 2 avg fight time
Cody Gibson
3%
Fights per year
Abdul Hussein
3%
Avg takedowns attempted
Cody Gibson
2%
Head absorption rate
Cody Gibson
2%
Avg control time
Cody Gibson
2%
Elo rating
Abdul Hussein
2%
← pushes toward Cody Gibson pushes toward Abdul Hussein →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.

Cody Gibson

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L SUB
L KO
L SUB
W DEC
W SUB
Height: 178 cm
Weight: 135 lbs
Reach: 180 cm
Stance: Orthodox

Abdul Hussein

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W SUB
Height: N/A cm
Weight: 135 lbs
Reach: N/A cm
Stance: N/A