Louie Sutherland
"Vanilla Gorilla"
10-4-0
VS
Henrique Da Silva Lopes
"Montanha"
5-2-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
61.7%
38.3%
Louie Sutherland
LightGBM
currently viewing
61.0%
39.0%
Louie Sutherland
Logistic (Core)
64.1%
35.9%
Louie Sutherland
CatBoost
66.2%
33.8%
Louie Sutherland
Ensemble
63.6%
36.4%
Louie Sutherland
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
45%
Decision
38%
KO / TKO
17%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 55%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Louie Sutherland
Henrique Da Silva Lopes
17%
10%
10%
9%
7%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Louie Sutherland
pushes toward Henrique Da Silva Lopes →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Louie Sutherland
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
SUB
W
DEC
L
KO
L
SUB
Height:
190 cm
Weight:
264 lbs
Reach:
193 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Henrique Da Silva Lopes
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
SUB
Height:
190 cm
Weight:
240 lbs
Reach:
N/A cm
Stance:
N/A