Charles Johnson
"InnerG"
18-7-0
VS
Jose Ochoa
"Kalzifer"
8-2-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
30.6%
69.4%
Jose Ochoa
LightGBM
currently viewing
33.1%
66.9%
Jose Ochoa
Logistic (Core)
29.6%
70.4%
Jose Ochoa
CatBoost
32.4%
67.6%
Jose Ochoa
Ensemble
31.2%
68.8%
Jose Ochoa
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
57%
Decision
28%
KO / TKO
15%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 43%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Charles Johnson
Jose Ochoa
19%
14%
10%
7%
7%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Charles Johnson
pushes toward Jose Ochoa →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Charles Johnson
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
20%
Avg Duration
11.3m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
SUB
W
DEC
L
KO
W
KO
L
DEC
Height:
175 cm
Weight:
125 lbs
Reach:
178 cm
Stance:
Switch
Jose Ochoa
Win Streak
1
Finish Rate
25%
Avg Duration
12.5m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
DEC
L
DEC
W
KO
L
DEC
Height:
170 cm
Weight:
125 lbs
Reach:
170 cm
Stance:
Southpaw
Head-to-Head Stats
Charles Johnson
ADVANTAGE
Jose Ochoa
Striking Accuracy
Strikes Landed/Min
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Striking Defense
Takedown Accuracy
Takedown Defense
Knockdowns/Fight
Avg Control Time (sec)
Strikes Per Round
Head Strike %
Body Strike %
Leg Strike %
Last 5 Win Rate
Last 5 Finish Rate