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Uros Medic
"The Doctor"
12-3-0
VS
2026-11-14
UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit
Welterweight
Kevin Holland
"Trailblazer"
28-15-0
NO AGE · LIGHTGBM PREDICTION
Uros Medic 'The Doctor'
60.8% CONFIDENCE
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
64.2% 35.8%
Uros Medic
LightGBM
59.5% 40.5%
Uros Medic
Logistic (Core)
54.4% 45.6%
Uros Medic
CatBoost
59.9% 40.1%
Uros Medic
Ensemble
60.2% 39.8%
Uros Medic
No Age · CatBoost
62.2% 37.8%
Uros Medic
No Age · Ensemble
57.2% 42.8%
Uros Medic
No Age · LightGBM currently viewing
60.8% 39.2%
Uros Medic
No Age · Logistic (Core)
59.0% 41.0%
Uros Medic
No Age · XGBoost
58.7% 41.3%
Uros Medic
Recency-Heavy · CatBoost
61.6% 38.4%
Uros Medic
Recency-Heavy · Ensemble
57.7% 42.3%
Uros Medic
Recency-Heavy · LightGBM
58.8% 41.2%
Uros Medic
Recency-Heavy · Logistic (Core)
55.6% 44.4%
Uros Medic
Recency-Heavy · XGBoost
56.8% 43.2%
Uros Medic
With Odds · CatBoost
54.0% 46.0%
Uros Medic
With Odds · Ensemble
48.8% 51.2%
Kevin Holland
With Odds · LightGBM
53.1% 46.9%
Uros Medic
With Odds · Logistic (Core)
54.4% 45.6%
Uros Medic
With Odds · XGBoost
49.5% 50.5%
Kevin Holland
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
38%
Decision
43%
KO / TKO
19%
Submission
Decision37.6%
KO / TKO43.1%
Submission19.3%
If it's a finish, which round
Round 159.3%
Round 228.4%
Round 3+12.3%
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 62% estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Uros Medic
Kevin Holland
Experience edge (total fights)
Matchup -28
21%
Reach edge
Matchup -25.4 cm
15%
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Uros Medic -1.05
9%
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Kevin Holland +1.25
7%
Strikes absorbed/min
Uros Medic 1.99
4%
Sub attempts/fight
Uros Medic 0.14
3%
Fights per year
Uros Medic 2.04
3%
KO power vs chin mismatch
Matchup +0.07
3%
Head-strike accuracy edge
Matchup 13%
3%
Fights per year
Kevin Holland 3.77
3%
Control time conceded
Kevin Holland 98.94
3%
Striker anti-wrestling edge
Matchup 0.09
2%
Total control time conceded
Uros Medic 78.40
2%
Fights in last 2 years
Uros Medic 5
2%
← pushes toward Uros Medic pushes toward Kevin Holland →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.

Uros Medic

Win Streak
4
Finish Rate
80%
Avg Duration
0.9m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W KO
W KO
W KO
W KO
L KO
Height: 185 cm
Weight: 170 lbs
Reach: 180 cm
Stance: Southpaw

Kevin Holland

Win Streak
1
Finish Rate
20%
Avg Duration
13.2m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W DEC
L DEC
L DEC
W SUB
W DEC
Height: 190 cm
Weight: 170 lbs
Reach: 206 cm
Stance: Orthodox
Head-to-Head Stats
Uros Medic
ADVANTAGE
Kevin Holland
Striking Accuracy
51.0%
+3.1%
47.9%
Strikes Landed/Min
2.56
+1.18
3.74
Strikes Absorbed/Min
1.99
+1.14
3.14
Striking Defense
55.3%
+6.0%
49.3%
Takedown Accuracy
37.8%
+3.3%
34.5%
Takedown Defense
60.0%
+5.7%
65.7%
Knockdowns/Fight
0.62
+0.38
0.24
Avg Control Time (sec)
55.07
+3.37
58.44
Strikes Per Round
13.57
+4.46
18.03
Head Strike %
64.3%
+8.8%
55.5%
Body Strike %
22.3%
+3.3%
19.0%
Leg Strike %
13.5%
+12.1%
25.5%
Last 5 Win Rate
80.0%
+20.0%
60.0%
Last 5 Finish Rate
80.0%
+60.0%
20.0%