Manoel Sousa
"Manumito"
13-1-0
VS
Richie Miranda
"El Machete"
13-1-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
62.2%
37.8%
Manoel Sousa
LightGBM
currently viewing
61.9%
38.1%
Manoel Sousa
Logistic (Core)
62.4%
37.6%
Manoel Sousa
CatBoost
61.7%
38.3%
Manoel Sousa
Ensemble
64.0%
36.0%
Manoel Sousa
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
48%
Decision
32%
KO / TKO
20%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 52%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Manoel Sousa
Richie Miranda
15%
9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
5%
5%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
2%
← pushes toward Manoel Sousa
pushes toward Richie Miranda →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Manoel Sousa
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
DEC
W
KO
Height:
175 cm
Weight:
155 lbs
Reach:
178 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Richie Miranda
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
Height:
N/A cm
Weight:
155 lbs
Reach:
N/A cm
Stance:
Southpaw