Farid Basharat
"Ferocious"
14-0-0
VS
John Garza
"Mowgli"
6-1-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
50.9%
49.1%
Farid Basharat
LightGBM
currently viewing
55.8%
44.2%
Farid Basharat
Logistic (Core)
58.2%
41.8%
Farid Basharat
CatBoost
54.1%
45.9%
Farid Basharat
Ensemble
60.9%
39.1%
Farid Basharat
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
60%
Decision
19%
KO / TKO
21%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 40%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Farid Basharat
John Garza
21%
19%
7%
6%
5%
5%
5%
4%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Farid Basharat
pushes toward John Garza →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Farid Basharat
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
DEC
W
DEC
W
DEC
W
DEC
W
DEC
Height:
173 cm
Weight:
135 lbs
Reach:
180 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
John Garza
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
Height:
N/A cm
Weight:
135 lbs
Reach:
N/A cm
Stance:
Orthodox