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Khaos Williams
"The OxFighter"
15-5-0
VS
2026-10-03
UFC 332
Welterweight
Roberto Soldic
"Robocop"
21-4-0
Thin UFC data
WITH ODDS · LIGHTGBM PREDICTION
Khaos Williams 'The OxFighter'
53.1% CONFIDENCE
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
51.9% 48.1%
Khaos Williams
LightGBM
54.8% 45.2%
Khaos Williams
Logistic (Core)
63.8% 36.2%
Khaos Williams
CatBoost
56.4% 43.6%
Khaos Williams
Ensemble
54.3% 45.7%
Khaos Williams
No Age · CatBoost
59.8% 40.2%
Khaos Williams
No Age · Ensemble
53.1% 46.9%
Khaos Williams
No Age · LightGBM
54.3% 45.7%
Khaos Williams
No Age · Logistic (Core)
62.9% 37.1%
Khaos Williams
No Age · XGBoost
55.7% 44.3%
Khaos Williams
Recency-Heavy · CatBoost
61.6% 38.4%
Khaos Williams
Recency-Heavy · Ensemble
55.2% 44.8%
Khaos Williams
Recency-Heavy · LightGBM
56.9% 43.1%
Khaos Williams
Recency-Heavy · Logistic (Core)
64.7% 35.3%
Khaos Williams
Recency-Heavy · XGBoost
51.5% 48.5%
Khaos Williams
With Odds · CatBoost
51.9% 48.1%
Khaos Williams
With Odds · Ensemble
48.1% 51.9%
Roberto Soldic
With Odds · LightGBM currently viewing
53.1% 46.9%
Khaos Williams
With Odds · Logistic (Core)
63.8% 36.2%
Khaos Williams
With Odds · XGBoost
42.6% 57.4%
Roberto Soldic
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
48%
Decision
39%
KO / TKO
14%
Submission
Decision47.8%
KO / TKO38.6%
Submission13.6%
If it's a finish, which round
Round 154.1%
Round 229.3%
Round 3+16.6%
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 52% estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Khaos Williams
Roberto Soldic
Experience edge (total fights)
Matchup -5
16%
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Khaos Williams -0.95
12%
Sub attempts/fight
Khaos Williams 0.16
8%
Market latest prob diff
Matchup
7%
Avg takedowns attempted
Khaos Williams 1.33
6%
Striking defense
Khaos Williams 44%
4%
Fights per year
Khaos Williams 1.76
4%
Strikes absorbed/min
Khaos Williams 4.39
3%
Age
Khaos Williams 32.5 yrs
3%
Age
Roberto Soldic 31.7 yrs
3%
Market opening prob diff
Matchup
3%
Market line movement diff
Matchup
3%
Defensive skill edge
Matchup -0.10
3%
Body strikes absorbed per min
Khaos Williams 0.71
2%
← pushes toward Khaos Williams pushes toward Roberto Soldic →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.

Khaos Williams

Win Streak
1
Finish Rate
40%
Avg Duration
9.0m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W KO
L DEC
L SUB
W KO
W DEC
Height: 183 cm
Weight: 170 lbs
Reach: 196 cm
Stance: Orthodox

Roberto Soldic

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Height: N/A cm
Weight: 170 lbs
Reach: N/A cm
Stance: N/A
Head-to-Head Stats
Khaos Williams
ADVANTAGE
Roberto Soldic
Striking Accuracy
40.9%
+40.9%
0.0%
Strikes Landed/Min
3.66
+3.66
0.00
Strikes Absorbed/Min
4.39
+4.39
0.00
Striking Defense
43.9%
+43.9%
0.0%
Takedown Accuracy
36.6%
+36.6%
0.0%
Takedown Defense
53.1%
+53.1%
0.0%
Knockdowns/Fight
0.39
+0.39
0.00
Avg Control Time (sec)
61.31
+61.31
0.00
Strikes Per Round
17.24
+17.24
0.00
Head Strike %
56.7%
+56.7%
0.0%
Body Strike %
21.3%
+21.3%
0.0%
Leg Strike %
22.0%
+22.0%
0.0%
Last 5 Win Rate
60.0%
+60.0%
0.0%
Last 5 Finish Rate
40.0%
+40.0%
0.0%