Tommy McMillen
"Gun"
9-0-0
VS
Alberto Montes
"The Promise"
11-1-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
65.5%
34.5%
Tommy McMillen
LightGBM
currently viewing
61.1%
38.9%
Tommy McMillen
Logistic (Core)
70.3%
29.7%
Tommy McMillen
CatBoost
64.2%
35.8%
Tommy McMillen
Ensemble
65.1%
34.9%
Tommy McMillen
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
37%
Decision
40%
KO / TKO
23%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 63%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Tommy McMillen
Alberto Montes
22%
6%
6%
6%
5%
5%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
← pushes toward Tommy McMillen
pushes toward Alberto Montes →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Tommy McMillen
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
KO
W
KO
Height:
183 cm
Weight:
145 lbs
Reach:
188 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Alberto Montes
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
KO
W
SUB
Height:
170 cm
Weight:
145 lbs
Reach:
175 cm
Stance:
Orthodox