Tracy Cortez
12-3-0
VS
Wang Cong
"The Joker"
8-1-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
36.4%
63.6%
Wang Cong
LightGBM
40.5%
59.5%
Wang Cong
Logistic (Core)
46.0%
54.0%
Wang Cong
CatBoost
currently viewing
40.7%
59.3%
Wang Cong
Ensemble
37.8%
62.2%
Wang Cong
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
69%
Decision
21%
KO / TKO
10%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 31%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why CatBoost leans this way
Tracy Cortez
Wang Cong
23%
9%
8%
8%
8%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Tracy Cortez
pushes toward Wang Cong →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Tracy Cortez
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
L
SUB
W
DEC
L
DEC
W
DEC
Height:
165 cm
Weight:
125 lbs
Reach:
165 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Wang Cong
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
DEC
W
DEC
W
DEC
W
DEC
L
SUB
Height:
168 cm
Weight:
125 lbs
Reach:
168 cm
Stance:
Southpaw