Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
"Mufasa"
9-2-0
VS
2026-07-18
UFC Fight Night: Tavares vs. Barriault
Welterweight
Seokhyeon Ko
"The Korean Tyson"
13-2-0
LIGHTGBM PREDICTION
Seokhyeon Ko 'The Korean Tyson'
51.0% CONFIDENCE
How It Ends
58%
Decision
22%
KO / TKO
21%
Submission
Decision57.8%
KO / TKO21.6%
Submission20.6%
If it's a finish, which round
Round 144.5%
Round 233.5%
Round 3+22.0%
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 42% estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
Seokhyeon Ko
Age edge (significant gap)
Matchup
16%
Defensive skill edge
Matchup
9%
Net striking dominance
Matchup
9%
Strikes absorbed/min
Seokhyeon Ko
8%
Avg control time
Seokhyeon Ko
6%
Experience edge (total fights)
Matchup
6%
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Seokhyeon Ko
4%
Avg takedowns attempted
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
4%
Elo rating edge
Matchup
4%
Age
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
4%
Age
Seokhyeon Ko
3%
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
3%
Avg takedowns attempted
Seokhyeon Ko
3%
Sub attempts/fight
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
2%
← pushes toward Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani pushes toward Seokhyeon Ko →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W DEC
W DEC
Height: 180 cm
Weight: 170 lbs
Reach: 183 cm
Stance: Switch

Seokhyeon Ko

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L DEC
W DEC
W DEC
Height: 178 cm
Weight: 170 lbs
Reach: 180 cm
Stance: Southpaw