Ty Miller
"Thriller"
6-0-0
VS
Billy Ray Goff
9-4-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
68.8%
31.2%
Ty Miller
LightGBM
69.1%
30.9%
Ty Miller
Logistic (Core)
66.5%
33.5%
Ty Miller
CatBoost
62.6%
37.4%
Ty Miller
Ensemble
currently viewing
65.3%
34.7%
Ty Miller
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
50%
Decision
34%
KO / TKO
16%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 50%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Ty Miller
Billy Ray Goff
9%
8%
6%
6%
6%
5%
5%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
← pushes toward Ty Miller
pushes toward Billy Ray Goff →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Ty Miller
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
KO
W
KO
Height:
188 cm
Weight:
170 lbs
Reach:
196 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Billy Ray Goff
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
KO
L
SUB
L
DEC
W
KO
Height:
178 cm
Weight:
170 lbs
Reach:
183 cm
Stance:
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