Nina Milosevic
"Queen Beast"
8-1-0
VS
2026-08-01
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Women's Bantamweight
Hailey Cowan
"All Hail"
7-4-0
LIGHTGBM PREDICTION
Nina Milosevic 'Queen Beast'
71.9% CONFIDENCE
How It Ends
55%
Decision
29%
KO / TKO
17%
Submission
Decision54.7%
KO / TKO28.7%
Submission16.5%
If it's a finish, which round
Round 148.3%
Round 229.0%
Round 3+22.7%
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 45% estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Nina Milosevic
Hailey Cowan
Elo rating edge
Matchup
19%
Age
Hailey Cowan
11%
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Hailey Cowan
10%
Age edge (significant gap)
Matchup
6%
Age
Nina Milosevic
6%
Avg takedowns attempted
Hailey Cowan
5%
Avg takedowns attempted
Nina Milosevic
4%
Fights per year
Nina Milosevic
3%
Last 2 avg fight time
Hailey Cowan
3%
Total career fights (incl. non-UFC)
Nina Milosevic
3%
Distance strike defense
Hailey Cowan
3%
Fights per year
Hailey Cowan
2%
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Nina Milosevic
2%
Defensive skill edge
Matchup
2%
← pushes toward Nina Milosevic pushes toward Hailey Cowan →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.

Nina Milosevic

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W KO
Height: N/A cm
Weight: 135 lbs
Reach: N/A cm
Stance: N/A

Hailey Cowan

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L KO
L KO
L SUB
L DEC
Height: 173 cm
Weight: 135 lbs
Reach: 170 cm
Stance: Southpaw