Ludovit Klein
"Mr. Highlight"
24-5-1
VS
2026-08-01
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Lightweight
Tofiq Musayev
22-6-0
LIGHTGBM PREDICTION
Ludovit Klein 'Mr. Highlight'
76.6% CONFIDENCE
How It Ends
60%
Decision
25%
KO / TKO
15%
Submission
Decision59.9%
KO / TKO24.9%
Submission15.2%
If it's a finish, which round
Round 143.6%
Round 236.4%
Round 3+20.0%
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 40% estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Ludovit Klein
Tofiq Musayev
Age edge (significant gap)
Matchup
18%
Elo rating edge
Matchup
17%
Age
Tofiq Musayev
8%
Defensive skill edge
Matchup
8%
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Tofiq Musayev
7%
Avg takedowns attempted
Ludovit Klein
7%
Net striking dominance
Matchup
4%
Age
Ludovit Klein
3%
Round 1 strike output
Tofiq Musayev
3%
Distance strike defense
Tofiq Musayev
3%
Avg takedowns attempted
Tofiq Musayev
2%
Strikes absorbed/min
Ludovit Klein
2%
Southpaw stance edge
Matchup
2%
Striking accuracy
Ludovit Klein
2%
← pushes toward Ludovit Klein pushes toward Tofiq Musayev →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.

Ludovit Klein

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L KO
W DEC
L DEC
W DEC
W DEC
Height: 170 cm
Weight: 155 lbs
Reach: 183 cm
Stance: Southpaw

Tofiq Musayev

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W KO
W DEC
L SUB
Height: 175 cm
Weight: 155 lbs
Reach: 175 cm
Stance: Orthodox