Jean Silva
"Lord"
16-3-0
VS
Jose Delgado
10-2-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
49.3%
50.7%
Jose Delgado
LightGBM
50.0%
50.0%
Jean Silva
Logistic (Core)
46.8%
53.2%
Jose Delgado
CatBoost
49.4%
50.6%
Jose Delgado
Ensemble
47.1%
52.9%
Jose Delgado
With Odds · CatBoost
76.4%
23.6%
Jean Silva
With Odds · Ensemble
65.8%
34.2%
Jean Silva
With Odds · LightGBM
currently viewing
68.0%
32.0%
Jean Silva
With Odds · Logistic (Core)
46.1%
53.9%
Jose Delgado
With Odds · XGBoost
66.4%
33.6%
Jean Silva
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
47%
Decision
40%
KO / TKO
13%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 53%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Jean Silva
Jose Delgado
39%
19%
14%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
← pushes toward Jean Silva
pushes toward Jose Delgado →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Jean Silva
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
SUB
W
DEC
L
KO
W
SUB
W
KO
Height:
170 cm
Weight:
145 lbs
Reach:
175 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Jose Delgado
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
SUB
W
DEC
W
DEC
L
DEC
W
KO
Height:
180 cm
Weight:
145 lbs
Reach:
188 cm
Stance:
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