Dustin Jacoby
"The Hanyak"
21-9-1
VS
Muhammad Said
9-0-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
39.8%
60.2%
Muhammad Said
LightGBM
40.1%
59.9%
Muhammad Said
Logistic (Core)
currently viewing
44.0%
56.0%
Muhammad Said
CatBoost
42.3%
57.7%
Muhammad Said
Ensemble
42.1%
57.9%
Muhammad Said
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
41%
Decision
46%
KO / TKO
14%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 59%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Dustin Jacoby
Muhammad Said
17%
12%
9%
9%
7%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Dustin Jacoby
pushes toward Muhammad Said →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Dustin Jacoby
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
KO
W
KO
W
KO
W
KO
L
KO
Height:
190 cm
Weight:
205 lbs
Reach:
193 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Muhammad Said
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
KO
Height:
N/A cm
Weight:
205 lbs
Reach:
N/A cm
Stance:
N/A