Ryan Gandra
"Problema"
8-1-0
VS
Zach Reese
"Savage"
10-2-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
63.9%
36.1%
Ryan Gandra
LightGBM
61.9%
38.1%
Ryan Gandra
Logistic (Core)
57.4%
42.6%
Ryan Gandra
CatBoost
currently viewing
64.8%
35.2%
Ryan Gandra
Ensemble
61.2%
38.8%
Ryan Gandra
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
31%
Decision
44%
KO / TKO
25%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 69%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why CatBoost leans this way
Ryan Gandra
Zach Reese
16%
12%
10%
6%
5%
5%
4%
4%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Ryan Gandra
pushes toward Zach Reese →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Ryan Gandra
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
KO
W
KO
Height:
185 cm
Weight:
185 lbs
Reach:
188 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Zach Reese
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
KO
L
DEC
W
SUB
L
DEC
W
DEC
Height:
193 cm
Weight:
185 lbs
Reach:
196 cm
Stance:
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