Gable Steveson
3-0-0
VS
Elisha Ellison
"The Snack Panther"
5-2-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
67.4%
32.6%
Gable Steveson
LightGBM
61.9%
38.1%
Gable Steveson
Logistic (Core)
64.4%
35.6%
Gable Steveson
CatBoost
currently viewing
59.3%
40.7%
Gable Steveson
Ensemble
66.3%
33.7%
Gable Steveson
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
42%
Decision
41%
KO / TKO
17%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 58%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why CatBoost leans this way
Gable Steveson
Elisha Ellison
12%
9%
9%
7%
7%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
← pushes toward Gable Steveson
pushes toward Elisha Ellison →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Gable Steveson
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
KO
Height:
N/A cm
Weight:
249 lbs
Reach:
N/A cm
Stance:
N/A
Elisha Ellison
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
KO
L
KO
Height:
183 cm
Weight:
238 lbs
Reach:
198 cm
Stance:
Orthodox