Wes Schultz
"Party Time"
8-2-0
VS
Jackson McVey
"The Moose"
6-2-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
58.6%
41.4%
Wes Schultz
LightGBM
currently viewing
61.3%
38.7%
Wes Schultz
Logistic (Core)
48.7%
51.3%
Jackson McVey
CatBoost
55.9%
44.1%
Wes Schultz
Ensemble
60.3%
39.7%
Wes Schultz
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
33%
Decision
34%
KO / TKO
33%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 67%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Wes Schultz
Jackson McVey
15%
11%
7%
6%
5%
4%
4%
4%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
← pushes toward Wes Schultz
pushes toward Jackson McVey →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Wes Schultz
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
KO
W
SUB
L
KO
Height:
188 cm
Weight:
185 lbs
Reach:
196 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Jackson McVey
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
KO
W
SUB
L
SUB
L
SUB
Height:
193 cm
Weight:
185 lbs
Reach:
196 cm
Stance:
Southpaw