Brandon Moreno
"The Assassin Baby"
23-8-2
VS
Joseph Morales
"Bopo"
15-2-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
66.7%
33.3%
Brandon Moreno
LightGBM
63.9%
36.1%
Brandon Moreno
Logistic (Core)
58.3%
41.7%
Brandon Moreno
CatBoost
62.1%
37.9%
Brandon Moreno
Ensemble
currently viewing
65.8%
34.2%
Brandon Moreno
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
51%
Decision
24%
KO / TKO
25%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 49%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Brandon Moreno
Joseph Morales
12%
11%
8%
8%
7%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
← pushes toward Brandon Moreno
pushes toward Joseph Morales →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Brandon Moreno
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
21.5m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
L
KO
W
DEC
W
DEC
L
DEC
Height:
170 cm
Weight:
125 lbs
Reach:
178 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Joseph Morales
Win Streak
2
Finish Rate
60%
Avg Duration
7.9m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
SUB
W
SUB
L
DEC
L
KO
W
SUB
Height:
168 cm
Weight:
125 lbs
Reach:
175 cm
Stance:
Switch
Head-to-Head Stats
Brandon Moreno
ADVANTAGE
Joseph Morales
Striking Accuracy
Strikes Landed/Min
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Striking Defense
Takedown Accuracy
Takedown Defense
Knockdowns/Fight
Avg Control Time (sec)
Strikes Per Round
Head Strike %
Body Strike %
Leg Strike %
Last 5 Win Rate
Last 5 Finish Rate