Magomed Tuchalov
"Wild"
6-0-0
VS
Brendson Ribeiro
"The Gorilla"
17-9-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
67.0%
33.0%
Magomed Tuchalov
LightGBM
64.5%
35.5%
Magomed Tuchalov
Logistic (Core)
69.3%
30.7%
Magomed Tuchalov
CatBoost
66.3%
33.7%
Magomed Tuchalov
Ensemble
currently viewing
67.7%
32.3%
Magomed Tuchalov
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
40%
Decision
39%
KO / TKO
21%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 60%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Magomed Tuchalov
Brendson Ribeiro
14%
11%
7%
6%
6%
5%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Magomed Tuchalov
pushes toward Brendson Ribeiro →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Magomed Tuchalov
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
DEC
Height:
N/A cm
Weight:
205 lbs
Reach:
N/A cm
Stance:
N/A
Brendson Ribeiro
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
L
SUB
L
KO
L
KO
W
SUB
Height:
190 cm
Weight:
205 lbs
Reach:
206 cm
Stance:
Orthodox