Tai Tuivasa
"Bam Bam"
15-8-0
VS
Robelis Despaigne
"The Big Boy"
5-2-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
49.7%
50.3%
Robelis Despaigne
LightGBM
currently viewing
49.4%
50.6%
Robelis Despaigne
Logistic (Core)
51.8%
48.2%
Tai Tuivasa
CatBoost
49.3%
50.7%
Robelis Despaigne
Ensemble
49.1%
50.9%
Robelis Despaigne
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
37%
Decision
50%
KO / TKO
13%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 63%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Tai Tuivasa
Robelis Despaigne
11%
10%
10%
7%
6%
6%
4%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
2%
← pushes toward Tai Tuivasa
pushes toward Robelis Despaigne →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Tai Tuivasa
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
11.8m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
L
DEC
L
DEC
L
SUB
L
SUB
Height:
188 cm
Weight:
264 lbs
Reach:
190 cm
Stance:
Southpaw
Robelis Despaigne
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
33%
Avg Duration
10.1m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
L
DEC
W
KO
Height:
201 cm
Weight:
265 lbs
Reach:
213 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Head-to-Head Stats
Tai Tuivasa
ADVANTAGE
Robelis Despaigne
Striking Accuracy
Strikes Landed/Min
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Striking Defense
Takedown Accuracy
Takedown Defense
Knockdowns/Fight
Avg Control Time (sec)
Strikes Per Round
Head Strike %
Body Strike %
Leg Strike %
Last 5 Win Rate
Last 5 Finish Rate