Natalia Silva
19-5-1
VS
2026-10-03
UFC 332
Women's Flyweight
Wang Cong
"The Joker"
8-1-0
WITH ODDS · CATBOOST PREDICTION
Natalia Silva
65.0% CONFIDENCE
How It Ends
63%
Decision
28%
KO / TKO
9%
Submission
Decision63.3%
KO / TKO27.8%
Submission8.9%
If it's a finish, which round
Round 131.0%
Round 227.8%
Round 3+41.2%
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 37% estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why CatBoost leans this way
Natalia Silva
Wang Cong
Market latest prob diff
Matchup
41%
Market opening prob diff
Matchup
9%
Net striking dominance
Matchup -1.24
7%
Experience edge (total fights)
Matchup +16
6%
Age
Wang Cong 34.4 yrs
4%
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Natalia Silva -1.26
3%
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Wang Cong -0.87
3%
Avg takedowns attempted
Natalia Silva 1.93
2%
Market line movement diff
Matchup
2%
Striking defense
Wang Cong 58%
2%
Distance strike defense
Natalia Silva 65%
2%
Striking defense
Natalia Silva 63%
2%
Age
Natalia Silva 29.7 yrs
2%
Avg takedowns attempted
Wang Cong 1.46
2%
← pushes toward Natalia Silva pushes toward Wang Cong →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.

Natalia Silva

Win Streak
8
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
15.0m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W DEC
W DEC
W DEC
W DEC
W DEC
Height: 163 cm
Weight: 125 lbs
Reach: 165 cm
Stance: Southpaw

Wang Cong

Win Streak
4
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
13.8m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W DEC
W DEC
W DEC
W DEC
L SUB
Height: 168 cm
Weight: 125 lbs
Reach: 168 cm
Stance: Southpaw
Head-to-Head Stats
Natalia Silva
ADVANTAGE
Wang Cong
Striking Accuracy
44.1%
+11.9%
56.0%
Strikes Landed/Min
4.24
+1.60
5.83
Strikes Absorbed/Min
2.59
+0.36
2.94
Striking Defense
63.4%
+5.2%
58.2%
Takedown Accuracy
36.0%
+5.2%
41.2%
Takedown Defense
75.9%
+1.1%
77.0%
Knockdowns/Fight
0.16
+0.18
0.34
Avg Control Time (sec)
61.07
+4.16
56.92
Strikes Per Round
20.11
+5.84
25.95
Head Strike %
59.6%
+6.6%
53.0%
Body Strike %
21.0%
+1.6%
22.7%
Leg Strike %
19.4%
+5.0%
24.4%
Last 5 Win Rate
100.0%
+20.0%
80.0%