Borislav Nikolic
"Zombee"
16-2-0
VS
Mark Vologdin
12-4-1
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
41.2%
58.8%
Mark Vologdin
LightGBM
currently viewing
43.9%
56.1%
Mark Vologdin
Logistic (Core)
42.6%
57.4%
Mark Vologdin
CatBoost
44.6%
55.4%
Mark Vologdin
Ensemble
41.0%
59.0%
Mark Vologdin
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
55%
Decision
27%
KO / TKO
18%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 45%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Borislav Nikolic
Mark Vologdin
26%
10%
7%
7%
5%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Borislav Nikolic
pushes toward Mark Vologdin →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Borislav Nikolic
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
DEC
Height:
N/A cm
Weight:
135 lbs
Reach:
N/A cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Mark Vologdin
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
D
DEC
Height:
160 cm
Weight:
135 lbs
Reach:
165 cm
Stance:
Orthodox