Sumudaerji
"The Tibetan Eagle"
18-7-0
VS
Alex Perez
25-10-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
77.8%
22.2%
Sumudaerji
LightGBM
currently viewing
77.0%
23.0%
Sumudaerji
Logistic (Core)
65.6%
34.4%
Sumudaerji
CatBoost
72.3%
27.7%
Sumudaerji
Ensemble
75.5%
24.5%
Sumudaerji
Recency-Heavy · CatBoost
74.6%
25.4%
Sumudaerji
Recency-Heavy · Ensemble
75.8%
24.2%
Sumudaerji
Recency-Heavy · LightGBM
75.8%
24.2%
Sumudaerji
Recency-Heavy · Logistic (Core)
67.6%
32.4%
Sumudaerji
Recency-Heavy · XGBoost
78.7%
21.3%
Sumudaerji
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
54%
Decision
33%
KO / TKO
13%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 46%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Sumudaerji
Alex Perez
15%
9%
7%
7%
7%
6%
6%
5%
5%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Sumudaerji
pushes toward Alex Perez →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Sumudaerji
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
DEC
L
DEC
W
DEC
W
DEC
W
DEC
Height:
173 cm
Weight:
125 lbs
Reach:
183 cm
Stance:
Southpaw
Alex Perez
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
L
DEC
W
KO
L
SUB
L
KO
Height:
168 cm
Weight:
125 lbs
Reach:
165 cm
Stance:
Orthodox