Sumudaerji
"The Tibetan Eagle"
18-7-0
VS
Alex Perez
25-10-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
currently viewing
79.4%
20.6%
Sumudaerji
LightGBM
77.2%
22.8%
Sumudaerji
Logistic (Core)
65.9%
34.1%
Sumudaerji
CatBoost
73.1%
26.9%
Sumudaerji
Ensemble
76.6%
23.4%
Sumudaerji
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
56%
Decision
32%
KO / TKO
13%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 44%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Sumudaerji
Alex Perez
15%
8%
7%
7%
6%
6%
5%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
2%
← pushes toward Sumudaerji
pushes toward Alex Perez →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Sumudaerji
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
13.3m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
W
DEC
W
DEC
W
DEC
L
DEC
Height:
173 cm
Weight:
125 lbs
Reach:
183 cm
Stance:
Southpaw
Alex Perez
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
40%
Avg Duration
7.1m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
W
KO
L
SUB
L
KO
W
KO
Height:
168 cm
Weight:
125 lbs
Reach:
165 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Head-to-Head Stats
Sumudaerji
ADVANTAGE
Alex Perez
Striking Accuracy
Strikes Landed/Min
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Striking Defense
Takedown Accuracy
Takedown Defense
Knockdowns/Fight
Avg Control Time (sec)
Strikes Per Round
Head Strike %
Body Strike %
Leg Strike %
Last 5 Win Rate
Last 5 Finish Rate