Jared Cannonier
"The Killa Gorilla"
18-9-0
VS
Christian Leroy Duncan
"CLD"
13-2-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
23.7%
76.3%
Christian Ler...
LightGBM
currently viewing
26.2%
73.8%
Christian Ler...
Logistic (Core)
26.6%
73.4%
Christian Ler...
CatBoost
27.7%
72.3%
Christian Ler...
Ensemble
24.7%
75.3%
Christian Ler...
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
47%
Decision
45%
KO / TKO
8%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 53%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Jared Cannonier
Christian Leroy Duncan
19%
14%
9%
8%
7%
4%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Jared Cannonier
pushes toward Christian Leroy Duncan →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Jared Cannonier
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
L
DEC
W
KO
L
DEC
L
KO
Height:
180 cm
Weight:
185 lbs
Reach:
196 cm
Stance:
Switch
Christian Leroy Duncan
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
DEC
W
DEC
W
KO
W
KO
W
DEC
Height:
188 cm
Weight:
185 lbs
Reach:
201 cm
Stance:
Switch