Louis Jourdain
"The Mad Prince"
9-3-0
Thin UFC data
VS
Timmy Cuamba
"Twilight"
10-3-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
61.0%
39.0%
Louis Jourdain
LightGBM
56.5%
43.5%
Louis Jourdain
Logistic (Core)
53.2%
46.8%
Louis Jourdain
CatBoost
currently viewing
57.1%
42.9%
Louis Jourdain
Ensemble
53.8%
46.2%
Louis Jourdain
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
57%
Decision
28%
KO / TKO
15%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 43%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why CatBoost leans this way
Louis Jourdain
Timmy Cuamba
19%
10%
9%
7%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
← pushes toward Louis Jourdain
pushes toward Timmy Cuamba →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Louis Jourdain
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Height:
175 cm
Weight:
135 lbs
Reach:
175 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Timmy Cuamba
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
20%
Avg Duration
12.3m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
SUB
W
DEC
W
KO
L
DEC
L
DEC
Height:
175 cm
Weight:
135 lbs
Reach:
180 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Head-to-Head Stats
Louis Jourdain
ADVANTAGE
Timmy Cuamba
Striking Accuracy
Strikes Landed/Min
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Striking Defense
Takedown Accuracy
Takedown Defense
Knockdowns/Fight
Avg Control Time (sec)
Strikes Per Round
Head Strike %
Body Strike %
Leg Strike %
Last 5 Win Rate
Last 5 Finish Rate