Mateusz Rebecki
20-4-0
VS
Kyle Prepolec
"Killshot"
18-10-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
69.8%
30.2%
Mateusz Rebecki
LightGBM
currently viewing
69.5%
30.5%
Mateusz Rebecki
Logistic (Core)
78.6%
21.4%
Mateusz Rebecki
CatBoost
68.8%
31.2%
Mateusz Rebecki
Ensemble
73.5%
26.5%
Mateusz Rebecki
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
54%
Decision
24%
KO / TKO
22%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 46%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Mateusz Rebecki
Kyle Prepolec
16%
14%
7%
6%
6%
6%
5%
4%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Mateusz Rebecki
pushes toward Kyle Prepolec →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Mateusz Rebecki
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
KO
L
SUB
L
DEC
L
DEC
W
DEC
Height:
170 cm
Weight:
155 lbs
Reach:
168 cm
Stance:
Southpaw
Kyle Prepolec
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
KO
L
KO
L
SUB
L
DEC
L
DEC
Height:
178 cm
Weight:
155 lbs
Reach:
178 cm
Stance:
Southpaw