Rizvan Kuniev
12-3-1
VS
Regina Malpica
"Kill Bill"
7-0-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
42.9%
57.1%
Regina Malpica
LightGBM
currently viewing
43.3%
56.7%
Regina Malpica
Logistic (Core)
37.0%
63.0%
Regina Malpica
CatBoost
46.2%
53.8%
Regina Malpica
Ensemble
37.6%
62.4%
Regina Malpica
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
49%
Decision
39%
KO / TKO
11%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 51%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Rizvan Kuniev
Regina Malpica
22%
9%
8%
8%
7%
7%
4%
4%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Rizvan Kuniev
pushes toward Regina Malpica →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Rizvan Kuniev
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
KO
W
DEC
L
DEC
Height:
193 cm
Weight:
240 lbs
Reach:
193 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Regina Malpica
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
KO
W
DEC
Height:
N/A cm
Weight:
125 lbs
Reach:
N/A cm
Stance:
N/A