Xiong Jingnan
"The Panda"
19-2-0
Thin UFC data
VS
Julia Polastri
"Psycho"
14-5-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
currently viewing
30.1%
69.9%
Julia Polastri
LightGBM
32.1%
67.9%
Julia Polastri
Logistic (Core)
32.5%
67.5%
Julia Polastri
CatBoost
31.5%
68.5%
Julia Polastri
Ensemble
26.1%
73.9%
Julia Polastri
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
71%
Decision
16%
KO / TKO
14%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 29%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Xiong Jingnan
Julia Polastri
19%
9%
6%
5%
5%
5%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
← pushes toward Xiong Jingnan
pushes toward Julia Polastri →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Xiong Jingnan
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
15.0m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
Height:
N/A cm
Weight:
115 lbs
Reach:
N/A cm
Stance:
N/A
Julia Polastri
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
20%
Avg Duration
14.6m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
W
KO
L
DEC
W
DEC
L
DEC
Height:
157 cm
Weight:
115 lbs
Reach:
163 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Head-to-Head Stats
Xiong Jingnan
ADVANTAGE
Julia Polastri
Striking Accuracy
Strikes Landed/Min
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Striking Defense
Takedown Accuracy
Takedown Defense
Knockdowns/Fight
Avg Control Time (sec)
Strikes Per Round
Head Strike %
Body Strike %
Leg Strike %
Last 5 Win Rate
Last 5 Finish Rate