Uros Medic
"The Doctor"
12-3-0
VS
Daniel Rodriguez
"D-Rod"
20-5-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
75.2%
24.8%
Uros Medic
LightGBM
currently viewing
68.1%
31.9%
Uros Medic
Logistic (Core)
56.1%
43.9%
Uros Medic
CatBoost
65.3%
34.7%
Uros Medic
Ensemble
71.5%
28.5%
Uros Medic
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
35%
Decision
53%
KO / TKO
12%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 65%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Uros Medic
Daniel Rodriguez
16%
11%
8%
7%
6%
6%
5%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
← pushes toward Uros Medic
pushes toward Daniel Rodriguez →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Uros Medic
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
KO
W
KO
W
KO
W
KO
L
KO
Height:
185 cm
Weight:
170 lbs
Reach:
180 cm
Stance:
Southpaw
Daniel Rodriguez
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
KO
W
DEC
W
KO
W
DEC
L
DEC
Height:
185 cm
Weight:
170 lbs
Reach:
188 cm
Stance:
Southpaw