Yan Xiaonan
19-5-0
VS
Denise Gomes
"Dee"
12-3-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
30.8%
69.2%
Denise Gomes
LightGBM
31.0%
69.0%
Denise Gomes
Logistic (Core)
currently viewing
37.3%
62.7%
Denise Gomes
CatBoost
34.9%
65.1%
Denise Gomes
Ensemble
30.8%
69.2%
Denise Gomes
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
67%
Decision
21%
KO / TKO
12%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 33%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Yan Xiaonan
Denise Gomes
21%
8%
7%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Yan Xiaonan
pushes toward Denise Gomes →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Yan Xiaonan
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
20%
Avg Duration
16.5m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
W
DEC
L
DEC
W
KO
W
DEC
Height:
165 cm
Weight:
115 lbs
Reach:
160 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Denise Gomes
Win Streak
4
Finish Rate
20%
Avg Duration
13.1m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
DEC
W
KO
W
DEC
W
DEC
L
DEC
Height:
157 cm
Weight:
115 lbs
Reach:
160 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Head-to-Head Stats
Yan Xiaonan
ADVANTAGE
Denise Gomes
Striking Accuracy
Strikes Landed/Min
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Striking Defense
Takedown Accuracy
Takedown Defense
Knockdowns/Fight
Avg Control Time (sec)
Strikes Per Round
Head Strike %
Body Strike %
Leg Strike %
Last 5 Win Rate
Last 5 Finish Rate