Yan Xiaonan
19-5-0
VS
Denise Gomes
"Dee"
12-3-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
33.0%
67.0%
Denise Gomes
LightGBM
35.0%
65.0%
Denise Gomes
Logistic (Core)
37.8%
62.2%
Denise Gomes
CatBoost
36.1%
63.9%
Denise Gomes
Ensemble
31.6%
68.4%
Denise Gomes
Recency-Heavy · CatBoost
35.4%
64.6%
Denise Gomes
Recency-Heavy · Ensemble
29.5%
70.5%
Denise Gomes
Recency-Heavy · LightGBM
currently viewing
31.6%
68.4%
Denise Gomes
Recency-Heavy · Logistic (Core)
37.3%
62.7%
Denise Gomes
Recency-Heavy · XGBoost
28.7%
71.3%
Denise Gomes
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
66%
Decision
22%
KO / TKO
13%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 34%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Yan Xiaonan
Denise Gomes
24%
11%
9%
8%
6%
4%
4%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Yan Xiaonan
pushes toward Denise Gomes →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Yan Xiaonan
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
KO
L
DEC
W
DEC
L
DEC
W
KO
Height:
165 cm
Weight:
115 lbs
Reach:
160 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Denise Gomes
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
KO
W
DEC
W
KO
W
DEC
W
DEC
Height:
157 cm
Weight:
115 lbs
Reach:
160 cm
Stance:
Orthodox