Robert Whittaker
"The Reaper"
27-9-0
VS
Nikita Krylov
"The Miner"
30-11-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
46.1%
53.9%
Nikita Krylov
LightGBM
currently viewing
52.5%
47.5%
Robert Whittaker
Logistic (Core)
60.2%
39.8%
Robert Whittaker
CatBoost
53.7%
46.3%
Robert Whittaker
Ensemble
51.1%
48.9%
Robert Whittaker
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
46%
Decision
38%
KO / TKO
16%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 54%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Robert Whittaker
Nikita Krylov
12%
9%
9%
7%
6%
6%
6%
6%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
2%
← pushes toward Robert Whittaker
pushes toward Nikita Krylov →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Robert Whittaker
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
KO
L
DEC
L
SUB
W
KO
W
DEC
Height:
183 cm
Weight:
185 lbs
Reach:
185 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Nikita Krylov
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
KO
W
KO
L
KO
L
KO
W
SUB
Height:
190 cm
Weight:
205 lbs
Reach:
196 cm
Stance:
Orthodox