Vlasto Cepo
"El Chapo"
14-3-0
VS
Gilbert Urbina
"The RGV Bad Boy"
7-5-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
60.7%
39.3%
Vlasto Cepo
LightGBM
58.5%
41.5%
Vlasto Cepo
Logistic (Core)
56.9%
43.1%
Vlasto Cepo
CatBoost
currently viewing
57.3%
42.7%
Vlasto Cepo
Ensemble
57.0%
43.0%
Vlasto Cepo
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
37%
Decision
41%
KO / TKO
22%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 63%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why CatBoost leans this way
Vlasto Cepo
Gilbert Urbina
22%
14%
6%
5%
4%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Vlasto Cepo
pushes toward Gilbert Urbina →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Vlasto Cepo
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
KO
Height:
N/A cm
Weight:
185 lbs
Reach:
N/A cm
Stance:
N/A
Gilbert Urbina
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
KO
L
KO
L
KO
W
KO
L
SUB
Height:
190 cm
Weight:
170 lbs
Reach:
190 cm
Stance:
Orthodox