Nora Cornolle
9-3-0
VS
2026-09-05
UFC Fight Night: Page vs. Ruziboev
Women's Bantamweight
Klaudia Sygula
7-2-0
RECENCY-HEAVY · LIGHTGBM PREDICTION
Klaudia Sygula
63.2% CONFIDENCE
ACTUAL RESULT — MODEL WAS WRONG
Nora Cornolle won
Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
How It Ends
66%
Decision
20%
KO / TKO
14%
Submission
Decision65.9%
KO / TKO19.7%
Submission14.5%
If it's a finish, which round
Round 141.4%
Round 240.8%
Round 3+17.8%
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 34% estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Nora Cornolle
Klaudia Sygula
Age edge (significant gap)
Matchup
26%
Net striking dominance
Matchup
13%
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Klaudia Sygula
7%
Age
Klaudia Sygula
5%
Age
Nora Cornolle
5%
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Nora Cornolle
4%
Defensive skill edge
Matchup
4%
Head-strike accuracy edge
Matchup
4%
Strikes absorbed/min
Klaudia Sygula
4%
Avg takedowns attempted
Klaudia Sygula
3%
Strikes absorbed/min
Nora Cornolle
3%
Experience edge (total fights)
Matchup
3%
Avg takedowns attempted
Nora Cornolle
2%
Distance strike defense
Nora Cornolle
2%
← pushes toward Nora Cornolle pushes toward Klaudia Sygula →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.

Nora Cornolle

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W DEC
L SUB
L DEC
W SUB
L DEC
Height: 170 cm
Weight: 135 lbs
Reach: 170 cm
Stance: Orthodox

Klaudia Sygula

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L DEC
W DEC
W DEC
L KO
Height: 173 cm
Weight: 135 lbs
Reach: 175 cm
Stance: Orthodox