Nora Cornolle
9-3-0
VS
Klaudia Sygula
7-2-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
48.2%
51.8%
Klaudia Sygula
LightGBM
41.2%
58.8%
Klaudia Sygula
Logistic (Core)
40.7%
59.3%
Klaudia Sygula
CatBoost
34.3%
65.7%
Klaudia Sygula
Ensemble
42.2%
57.8%
Klaudia Sygula
Recency-Heavy · CatBoost
35.3%
64.7%
Klaudia Sygula
Recency-Heavy · Ensemble
38.2%
61.8%
Klaudia Sygula
Recency-Heavy · LightGBM
36.8%
63.2%
Klaudia Sygula
Recency-Heavy · Logistic (Core)
40.3%
59.7%
Klaudia Sygula
Recency-Heavy · XGBoost
42.5%
57.5%
Klaudia Sygula
With Odds · CatBoost
53.2%
46.8%
Nora Cornolle
With Odds · Ensemble
51.3%
48.7%
Nora Cornolle
With Odds · LightGBM
currently viewing
46.7%
53.3%
Klaudia Sygula
With Odds · Logistic (Core)
40.7%
59.3%
Klaudia Sygula
With Odds · XGBoost
59.6%
40.4%
Nora Cornolle
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
66%
Decision
20%
KO / TKO
14%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 34%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Nora Cornolle
Klaudia Sygula
20%
11%
8%
7%
6%
6%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Nora Cornolle
pushes toward Klaudia Sygula →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Nora Cornolle
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
DEC
L
SUB
L
DEC
W
SUB
L
DEC
Height:
170 cm
Weight:
135 lbs
Reach:
170 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Klaudia Sygula
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
W
DEC
W
DEC
L
KO
Height:
173 cm
Weight:
135 lbs
Reach:
175 cm
Stance:
Orthodox