Jack Jenkins
"Phar"
14-4-0
VS
Sean Woodson
"The Sniper"
13-2-1
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
49.0%
51.0%
Sean Woodson
LightGBM
currently viewing
51.7%
48.3%
Jack Jenkins
Logistic (Core)
47.1%
52.9%
Sean Woodson
CatBoost
42.0%
58.0%
Sean Woodson
Ensemble
43.6%
56.4%
Sean Woodson
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
56%
Decision
34%
KO / TKO
10%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 44%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Jack Jenkins
Sean Woodson
13%
9%
8%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
4%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
← pushes toward Jack Jenkins
pushes toward Sean Woodson →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Jack Jenkins
Win Streak
1
Finish Rate
20%
Avg Duration
12.2m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
DEC
L
SUB
W
KO
L
KO
W
DEC
Height:
170 cm
Weight:
145 lbs
Reach:
173 cm
Stance:
Switch
Sean Woodson
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
20%
Avg Duration
12.2m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
KO
W
KO
W
DEC
W
DEC
W
DEC
Height:
188 cm
Weight:
145 lbs
Reach:
198 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Head-to-Head Stats
Jack Jenkins
ADVANTAGE
Sean Woodson
Striking Accuracy
Strikes Landed/Min
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Striking Defense
Takedown Accuracy
Takedown Defense
Knockdowns/Fight
Avg Control Time (sec)
Strikes Per Round
Head Strike %
Body Strike %
Leg Strike %
Last 5 Win Rate
Last 5 Finish Rate