Yair Rodriguez
"El Pantera"
21-6-0
VS
Jean Silva
"Lord"
16-3-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
40.1%
59.9%
Jean Silva
LightGBM
currently viewing
42.7%
57.3%
Jean Silva
Logistic (Core)
54.2%
45.8%
Yair Rodriguez
CatBoost
48.9%
51.1%
Jean Silva
Ensemble
39.5%
60.5%
Jean Silva
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
51%
Decision
32%
KO / TKO
17%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 49%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Yair Rodriguez
Jean Silva
17%
10%
9%
7%
7%
4%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
← pushes toward Yair Rodriguez
pushes toward Jean Silva →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Yair Rodriguez
Win Streak
1
Finish Rate
40%
Avg Duration
10.8m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
DEC
L
SUB
L
KO
W
SUB
W
KO
Height:
180 cm
Weight:
145 lbs
Reach:
180 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Jean Silva
Win Streak
1
Finish Rate
40%
Avg Duration
9.9m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
DEC
L
KO
W
SUB
W
KO
W
KO
Height:
170 cm
Weight:
145 lbs
Reach:
175 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Head-to-Head Stats
Yair Rodriguez
ADVANTAGE
Jean Silva
Striking Accuracy
Strikes Landed/Min
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Striking Defense
Takedown Accuracy
Takedown Defense
Knockdowns/Fight
Avg Control Time (sec)
Strikes Per Round
Head Strike %
Body Strike %
Leg Strike %
Last 5 Win Rate
Last 5 Finish Rate