Mateusz Gamrot
"Gamer"
25-4-0
VS
Quillan Salkilld
10-1-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
48.4%
51.6%
Quillan Salkilld
LightGBM
currently viewing
42.5%
57.5%
Quillan Salkilld
Logistic (Core)
28.4%
71.6%
Quillan Salkilld
CatBoost
38.1%
61.9%
Quillan Salkilld
Ensemble
45.3%
54.7%
Quillan Salkilld
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
41%
Decision
34%
KO / TKO
25%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 59%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Mateusz Gamrot
Quillan Salkilld
15%
9%
9%
9%
8%
6%
6%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
← pushes toward Mateusz Gamrot
pushes toward Quillan Salkilld →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Mateusz Gamrot
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
SUB
W
SUB
L
SUB
W
DEC
L
DEC
Height:
178 cm
Weight:
155 lbs
Reach:
178 cm
Stance:
Southpaw
Quillan Salkilld
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
SUB
W
KO
W
SUB
W
KO
W
DEC
Height:
183 cm
Weight:
155 lbs
Reach:
190 cm
Stance:
Orthodox