Steve Erceg
"Astroboy"
13-4-0
VS
Ramazan Temirov
"Temurlan"
19-3-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
63.4%
36.6%
Steve Erceg
LightGBM
currently viewing
66.8%
33.2%
Steve Erceg
Logistic (Core)
54.6%
45.4%
Steve Erceg
CatBoost
58.3%
41.7%
Steve Erceg
Ensemble
64.2%
35.8%
Steve Erceg
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
58%
Decision
31%
KO / TKO
11%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 42%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Steve Erceg
Ramazan Temirov
13%
12%
11%
6%
5%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
← pushes toward Steve Erceg
pushes toward Ramazan Temirov →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Steve Erceg
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
KO
W
DEC
W
DEC
L
DEC
L
KO
Height:
173 cm
Weight:
125 lbs
Reach:
173 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Ramazan Temirov
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
KO
W
DEC
W
KO
Height:
163 cm
Weight:
125 lbs
Reach:
160 cm
Stance:
Orthodox