Back
Jim Miller
"A-10"
38-19-0
VS
2026-11-14
UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit
Lightweight
Terrance McKinney
"T. Wrecks"
17-7-0
WITH ODDS · LIGHTGBM PREDICTION
Terrance McKinney 'T. Wrecks'
57.5% CONFIDENCE
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
34.4% 65.6%
Terrance McKinney
LightGBM
37.5% 62.5%
Terrance McKinney
Logistic (Core)
28.4% 71.6%
Terrance McKinney
CatBoost
33.4% 66.6%
Terrance McKinney
Ensemble
30.9% 69.1%
Terrance McKinney
No Age · CatBoost
42.0% 58.0%
Terrance McKinney
No Age · Ensemble
35.4% 64.6%
Terrance McKinney
No Age · LightGBM
43.1% 56.9%
Terrance McKinney
No Age · Logistic (Core)
34.1% 65.9%
Terrance McKinney
No Age · XGBoost
40.4% 59.6%
Terrance McKinney
Recency-Heavy · CatBoost
36.3% 63.7%
Terrance McKinney
Recency-Heavy · Ensemble
33.0% 67.0%
Terrance McKinney
Recency-Heavy · LightGBM
38.8% 61.2%
Terrance McKinney
Recency-Heavy · Logistic (Core)
31.7% 68.3%
Terrance McKinney
Recency-Heavy · XGBoost
36.5% 63.5%
Terrance McKinney
With Odds · CatBoost
39.5% 60.5%
Terrance McKinney
With Odds · Ensemble
38.1% 61.9%
Terrance McKinney
With Odds · LightGBM currently viewing
42.5% 57.5%
Terrance McKinney
With Odds · Logistic (Core)
28.4% 71.6%
Terrance McKinney
With Odds · XGBoost
37.5% 62.5%
Terrance McKinney
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
39%
Decision
34%
KO / TKO
27%
Submission
Decision39.3%
KO / TKO34.1%
Submission26.6%
If it's a finish, which round
Round 168.5%
Round 222.4%
Round 3+9.1%
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 61% estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Jim Miller
Terrance McKinney
Experience edge (total fights)
Matchup +33
18%
Net striking dominance
Matchup -2.05
11%
Age
Jim Miller 43.2 yrs
9%
Age edge (significant gap)
Matchup +11.04
6%
Avg takedowns attempted
Terrance McKinney 1.57
5%
Market latest prob diff
Matchup
4%
Striking defense
Terrance McKinney 48%
4%
Age
Terrance McKinney 32.2 yrs
3%
Last 2 avg fight time
Terrance McKinney 161.50
3%
Distance strike defense
Terrance McKinney 55%
3%
Avg takedowns attempted
Jim Miller 1.64
3%
Fights in last 2 years
Terrance McKinney 5
2%
Sub attempts/fight
Jim Miller 0.67
2%
Striking accuracy
Terrance McKinney 52%
2%
← pushes toward Jim Miller pushes toward Terrance McKinney →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.

Jim Miller

Win Streak
1
Finish Rate
60%
Avg Duration
9.9m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W SUB
L DEC
W SUB
L DEC
W SUB
Height: 173 cm
Weight: 155 lbs
Reach: 180 cm
Stance: Southpaw

Terrance McKinney

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
60%
Avg Duration
2.2m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L KO
W KO
L SUB
W SUB
W KO
Height: 178 cm
Weight: 155 lbs
Reach: 185 cm
Stance: Switch
Head-to-Head Stats
Jim Miller
ADVANTAGE
Terrance McKinney
Striking Accuracy
45.4%
+6.8%
52.2%
Strikes Landed/Min
2.79
+1.03
3.82
Strikes Absorbed/Min
3.86
+1.02
2.84
Striking Defense
51.8%
+4.1%
47.7%
Takedown Accuracy
44.2%
+1.7%
42.5%
Takedown Defense
52.9%
+10.2%
63.1%
Knockdowns/Fight
0.16
+0.02
0.15
Avg Control Time (sec)
70.73
+3.81
74.54
Strikes Per Round
14.35
+3.50
17.84
Head Strike %
60.5%
+14.6%
75.1%
Body Strike %
19.6%
+3.2%
16.4%
Leg Strike %
19.9%
+11.4%
8.5%
Last 5 Win Rate
60.0%
EVEN
60.0%
Last 5 Finish Rate
60.0%
EVEN
60.0%